Dec. 23: IMBs wanted; HELOC (poem), AI POS, cap mkts tools; delinquencies increasing; loanDepot case ethics motion; Bill Dawley interview

Will rates impact the latest MBA origination forecast of $2.2 trillion next year? Sure, although… The Federal Reserve has cut overnight rates, but longer-term rates (like 15- and 30-year mortgages) have done little or have gone up. Recently news came out that Freddie and Fannie are buying securities that they produce. If GM is buying its own cars, should its stock price go up, or does the price of its cars go up? Do GSE MBS purchases really move rates? The recent news that the GSEs have been…

2025: Stabilization, Mix Shifts, and the Quiet Re-Sorting of Mortgage

If you spent 2025 waiting for the market to “come roaring back,” you probably left disappointed. This was not 2020 or 2021. It also was not 2022’s hangover. But it was not the free-fall mood of 2023, either. 2025 was the year the industry proved it can operate in a normal-rate environment, even if “normal” now means a 30-year fixed that starts with a 6. As of last week, Freddie Mac had the average 30-year fixed at 6.21% . ( AP News ) The market did not need a miracle to improve. It needed…

Dec. 22: LO jobs, transitions; broker, HELOC products; loanDepot LO comp case ethics question; dive into data

“My mother used to say that the way to a man’s heart is through his stomach. Wonderful woman, lousy surgeon.” Jokes about jobs are usually decent, and, speaking of jobs, as we approach the end of the year, we’re seeing the usual interest in other opportunities, especially if pipelines aren’t full or management is dealing with people “aging out.” I received this note: “Rob, I need a very targeted approach to finding a new CFO, as my current one is retiring. Know anyone who can help?” I do…

Dec. 19: Advisor, LO jobs coast to coast; credit review, HELOC, 2nd products; news from Freddie & Fannie

The way time flies can be jaw dropping; change is constant. (Lenders wonder if the change to Federal workers holidays next week impacts wiring.) Sunday is the Winter Solstice, a time when plenty of nature lovers, witches, and wiccas head to unique outdoor venues and celebrate the gradual, daily increase in daylight for the next six months. Something else that is jaw dropping is… Toni Basil . You know, of “Mickey” fame? She’s 82 years old and interacted with Elvis Presley and Bing Crosby! At…

Capital Markets Recap: December 19, 2025

This week marked another decisive step in the mortgage industry’s structural reset, led by United Wholesale Mortgage’s agreement to acquire Two Harbors in a $1.3 billion all-stock deal. While framed publicly as an MSR and portfolio-loan play, the transaction fits squarely into a broader consolidation wave reshaping the mortgage value chain. Following Rocket’s acquisition spree and Bayview’s combination of servicing, origination, and technology platforms, UWM’s move advances it from a mid-tier…

UWM & TWO Deal Thoughts, and Business Creation Continues

Although it did nothing to UWM’s stock price yesterday, United Wholesale Mortgage and Two Harbors Investment Corp. (“TWO”), an MSR-focused REIT and one of the largest servicers of conventional mortgages in the country announced that they have entered into a definitive merger agreement pursuant to which UWM will acquire TWO in an all-stock transaction for $1.3 billion in equity value. What does it mean for the industry? The STRATMOR Group put some perspective on the UWM acquisition of Two…

Dec. 18: IMBs wanted; jumbo, hedging, HELOC, custom newsletter products; STRATMOR on why the UWM/TWO deal is important

Husband: “I have good news and bad news. Which do you want to hear first?” Wife: “The good news.” Husband: “The good news is that your car’s airbag worked perfectly.” Good news or bad news, the news that lenders and LOs have to pay attention to continues into the holidays. There’s the UWM/Two Harbors news, sliced and diced below. For LOs who want to spread the news of their business, licensed loan officers can now view their 2025 Loan Officer Recap Highlight Reel , a free, personalized look…

Dec. 17: IMB wanted; AI automation, U/W automation, CRM, Agency CEO pay cap; UAD 3.6 update; economic jitters

Nothing is permanent except for change, including changing issues and narratives. The Rolling Stones have cancelled their 2026 tour… medical issues with 82-year-old Keith Richards. Jack in the Box is closing 200 stores and is struggling… a lack of dedicated fans. Lennar’s stock price is falling due to “housing headwinds.” Meanwhile, on tomorrow’s The Big Picture at 3PM ET, Mike Metz engages in an end-of-year conversation on the issues and narratives shaping housing and mortgage:…

Dec. 16: Exec available; job placement, cap markets education, servicing, borrower monitoring products; marketing thoughts for 2026

“’Girl math’ is booking a trip so far in advance that you’ve forgotten how much everything costs, so the trip is basically free.” What isn’t free is running a mortgage company, and lenders are trying to cut costs and increase efficiency everywhere. For example (and this is not a paid ad), Lenders One offers some member benefits that may be of interest: L1 Credit for credit reports and fraud tools, L1 Flood for NFIP compliance, and L1 Insurance to help borrowers get competitive homeowner…