Market Update – Economic Soup

While the government shutdown continues to simmer in stall-out mode, the US-China 100% tariff announcement, set to go live on November 1, is sure to spice things up. As the proverbial pot-lid begins to rattle, markets are watching closely to see what bubbles up next. So far, the flight-to-quality trade has worked in our favor, with the 10-year Treasury yield retreating to the 4.0% level. But the question remains: what catalyst could push us into a full boil—or breach that 4.0% threshold? …

Oct. 16: LO jobs; rate sheet, AI, verification, servicing, flood tools; primer on what builders can & can’t do

“I was gambling in Las Vegas; I took a little risk. Send lawyers, guns, and money , Dad, get me out of this!” Hopefully, no one heading to LV tomorrow or this weekend runs into that kind of trouble. Did you know… The difference between an American roulette wheel and a European wheel? The American version has “00.” Fans of Lucifer, and numerology, know that, for both, the numbers add up to 666! Homeowners in Las Vegas are not typically big gamblers, unless you consider their housing values…

Oct. 15: LO jobs; borrower monitoring, AI processing, DPA, verification tools; coming up in-person events; robots will do what?

While the debate rages on about whether the three colors of candy corn taste different, at the other end of the tech spectrum, lenders are weeding out unused or out-of-date technology, reviewing new tools, all the while looking at bad developments in the IT world. (Speaking of tools, Ben Teerlink, Founder/CEO, MMI, will be interviewed today at 11AM PT on the L1 show.) AI companies are paying people to fold laundry in front of robots so they can learn to do household chores . It’s…

Oct. 14: LO jobs; signing, borrower retention & capture, LOS, QC audit, AVM tools; slowing economy = lower rates

“Where do amputees get prosthetics on a budget? The secondhand store.” Budget, stalemate, and shutdown news continues in Washington DC. The sun still comes up in the morning, and there is news on related issues. For example, thank you to Sean S. who told me that HUD opened the suggestions window for improving the HECM (reverse mortgage) product. The reasons why Treasury and mortgage rates remain elevated despite the shutdown and Fed’s rate cuts will be discussed in the Capital Markets Wrap …

Introducing Ethan Vieaux – Vice President, FinLocker

As I wrap up my time with FinLocker and step into my role as President of MISMO, I’m happy to share that the MLO VieauxPoint weekly segment will continue with Chrisman Commentary. You’ll just have a new, and improved, Vieaux. Ethan Vieaux, Vice President of Customer Success at FinLocker, will be taking the pen from here. Ethan has spent years in the trenches with loan officers, helping them integrate technology that genuinely serves both their business and their borrowers. He understands the…

Capital Markets Recap: October 10, 2025

It used to be that schools began after Labor Day and got a week off for spring break. Well, now they’re “woke,” and get a week off in the fall, much like the mortgage industry seemingly did this week due to the ongoing federal government shutdown, currently in its tenth day. While the data void left market participants with little hard news to digest, attention turned to Fed comments on monetary policy and inflation expectations, highlighted by Governor Barr’s cautious stance. Households are…

Oct. 13: LO jobs; subservicing, CRM, underwriting tools; investor changes run the gamut; what the Fed is saying

“Rob, do you think that people spend more time at conferences talking about what they do rather than actually doing it at work ?” Perhaps. It’s hard for me to answer a question from someone who really doesn’t care about the answer, and besides, for many people going to many conferences is part of their job, right? There are a handful of important events to attend every year, and several state and local events that have merit. Roughly 3,000 are bound for Las Vegas this weekend to attend the…

Oct. 11: WSJ’s opinion on Freddie & Fannie & homebuilders; wide-ranging vendor news; Saturday Spotlight: Flyhomes

Tracking exactly which federal workers are being laid off may be difficult, although it is in the headlines and impacts those individuals and families and their finances. (A slowing economy, either as part of the natural business cycle or forced, means lower rates, although the Qatari air force facility being built in Idaho may help the job market there.) I do know, however, that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the head of which’s nomination was pulled a few weeks ago, will recall some…

Oct. 10: LO, U/W jobs; jumbo investor sought; Audit, interest rate risk products; Gov’t program news; Home Builder interview

The stalemate & shutdown continue, all but eliminating the government release of economic news. Recall that the U.S. Treasury posted a $345 billion budget deficit in August, the largest monthly deficit of 2025 and the 2nd-worst August on record but helped by tariff revenue. This is up from July’s $291 billion deficit and has only been surpassed by last year’s $380 billion deficit. Government spending surged to $689 billion for the month. Through the first 11 months of FY2025, the U.S….