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Monday
April 2008
4 min read

Apr. 28, 2008: economic chatter – if you buy gasoline, check out this website

Apr. 28, 2008: economic chatter – if you buy gasoline, check out this website Rob Chrisman

Is the FHA and HUD excited about all of the new business heading their way? Perhaps not… check out this article in Forbes, which focuses on concerns about federalizing the US housing market, and a reminder that the taxpayer supports these programs:

http://www.forbes.com/markets/economy/2008/04/23/fha-modernization-concerns-markets-equity-cx_md_0422markets15.html

 

Spending 70 greenbacks to fill up your gas tank once or twice a week? Today won’t help: crude-oil futures are hovering around $120 per barrel due to supply fears following the closure of the Forties North Sea pipeline system and strike action from oil workers in Nigeria. At least you can check out this nifty website. Just enter your  zip code (on the upper right corner) in the site below, and it tells you which gas stations have the cheapest prices (and the highest) on gas in your zip code area – it’s supposedly updated every evening.  http://autos.msn.com/everyday/gasstations.aspx?zip=&src=Netx

 

As you drive (or bike) through your neighborhood, and see the “For Sale” signs, what percent are in foreclosure? For the entire state of California in the first quarter, foreclosed properties accounted for 33% of existing-home sales compared with 3% a year ago, according to data aggregator DataQuick Information Systems. The figure ranged from 5% of sales in San Francisco County to 66% in San Joaquin County.

 

Several investors have come out with 40-year fixed rate terms for the Agency Jumbo loan programs. Perhaps this is a sign that liquidity is coming into this market!

 

This week is packed with economic news in addition to another FOMC meeting. Although there is nothing today,  tomorrow morning we have the Consumer Confidence Index for April, an indicator of future spending by consumers (or at least the 5000 consumers they survey). It is expected to show a reading of 62.0, which would be a decline from March’s 64.5 reading. Wednesday morning we’ll see the preliminary version of the 1st Quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the sum of all products and services produced in the U.S. Expectations are for a growth rate of 0.4%. Also on Wednesday is the 1st Quarter Employment Cost Index (ECI), which tracks employer costs for wages and benefits, expected +.8%. Thursday we see the weekly initial unemployment claims and the March core PCE deflator data.  Finally, on Friday, the market gets the April unemployment report.

This week’s FOMC meeting will begin on Tuesday but will not adjourn until Wednesday afternoon, which is when the announcement of any changes to overnight rates will take place (around 11:15AM PST). Expectations are for another cut of .25% (which is priced into the market), but then no change in the foreseeable future. Ahead of all that, we find the 10-yr sitting at 3.85% and mortgage prices “a touch” better than Friday afternoon’s.

 

A lady walked into a pharmacy and told the pharmacist that she needed some cyanide.

The pharmacist said, "Why in the world do you need cyanide?"

The lady then explained she needed it to poison her husband.

The pharmacists eyes got big and he said, "Lord, have mercy – I can’t give you cyanide to kill your husband. That’s against the law, I’ll lose my license, they’ll throw both of us in jail and all kinds of bad things will happen. Absolutely not, you can NOT have any cyanide."

The lady reached into her purse and pulled out a picture of her husband in bed with the pharmacist’s wife.

The pharmacist looked at the picture and replied, "Well, now. You didn’t tell me you had a prescription."

 

Rob

 

 

 

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