In an industry accustomed to turbulence, the current mortgage environment presents a peculiar contradiction. Lenders and capital markets teams express an uneasy confidence, aware that even a sure thing in today’s environment can shift overnight. The result is a paradoxical moment in which everyone knows what might happen, yet few genuinely trust it. I'm focused on staying optimally hedged and hoping only for calm. Movement up or down matters less than avoiding volatility. Thi

After several years defined by volatility, scarcity, and historically high borrowing costs, the mortgage industry enters 2026 with something it hasn’t had in a while: a cautious, but genuine, sense of optimism. That sentiment was palpable at the MBA Annual conference, where the collective mood reflected a meaningful shift from the exhaustion of 2023 and the grinding uncertainty that clouded 2024. Lenders, economists, and market participants seemed aligned in a shared belief t

In an era defined by locked-in mortgage rates and frozen inventory, an old mechanism in American housing finance has suddenly reentered the conversation: the assumable mortgage. It is an idea that feels almost quaint, yet it sits at the center of some of the current debates about affordability, consumer rights, and the role of government in modern housing markets. To understand why assumability is back in the spotlight, it helps to start with what the feature actually is. At

Photo by  Emilie  on Unsplash After my  recent edition in which I expressly desired to appeal to a wider audience  by, among other things, eschewing the use of acronyms (unsuccessfully), I am now going to offer much more parochial industry commentary on what I think should be the biggest focus for the mortgage origination business in the coming year; specifically, the costs of loan production. So why the picture of a shovel in a ditch above? One, it’s a reminder about an  all

The mortgage industry has been embracing the concept of speed as a marketing feature in the past several years. The idea that a mortgage loan can transition from application to closing in a flash is something that loan officers and business owners have become convinced will make them more attractive to clients. Hey, who doesn't want to apply for a loan while making their morning coffee and get approved before they have finished their bowl of cereal, right? Maybe not. About tw

The Strategic Rise of Mortgage Servicing For decades, mortgage servicing sat quietly in the background...essential, yes, but rarely viewed as the heartbeat of mortgage banking. It was historically perceived as a post-closing administrative function: collect payments, manage escrow, and stay out of trouble. Today, that world is gone. Servicing has become one of the most strategically important assets in the mortgage ecosystem, a growth engine for originators, a competitive dif

The mortgage industry is once again revisiting products and practices that many thought had been relegated to the past. Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), for example, are resurfacing...not because they are “evil,” as some headlines teasingly suggest, but because the yield-curve dynamics and affordability challenges of this cycle naturally push them back into relevance. When recessionary pressures build, the curve steepens, short-term rates ease, and borrowers begin re-examini

For decades, credit reports were treated as snapshots - a fixed moment in time meant to summarize a borrower’s financial history. That view no longer fits today’s reality. Credit data has evolved into a living, dynamic asset that tells a story not just about who a consumer was, but how they are behaving right now and where their financial trajectory is heading. This shift is more than technical, it’s strategic - driving smarter decisions and better outcomes across the mortgag

A proposal to introduce 50-year fixed-rate mortgages into the U.S. housing market has reignited debate over how best to address the nation’s affordability crisis. Proponents argue that longer loan terms could make homeownership accessible to more Americans by lowering monthly payments. However, a closer analysis reveals that the product offers limited real savings, significant long-term costs, and structural challenges for investors and the secondary market. The 50-year mortg

It’s the 100 th edition of these Musings, so it seems I need to write something special: something that is accessible and insightful to all readers and will provide deep meaning and energize your life. [1] At a minimum, this “Musing for the masses” will avoid using acronyms that only my mortgage industry peeps understand and refrain from discussing ongoing litigation implications. [2] I’m even going to spend some time talking about summer camp. So, in this “ Very Special”

As the mortgage industry closes out 2025, servicing has become a battleground defined by what many are calling the “recapture wars.” In a market shaped by volatility, shifting rates, and heightened customer expectations, retaining borrowers has never been more critical, or more challenging. This evolving landscape presents an opportunity to connect the dots across the mortgage ecosystem to help lenders and servicers operate with greater speed, efficiency, and intelligence. Th

As Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair nears its conclusion in May of next year, attention is shifting to who will lead the central bank into its next phase, and what that leadership could mean for the mortgage industry. The finalists reportedly include current Fed Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, and BlackRock executive Rick Rieder. Each brings distinct s

In today’s mortgage industry, the term “intelligent document processing” (IDP) often gets oversimplified. Many assume it’s simply about teaching machines to “read documents.” But true IDP, particularly at enterprise scale, is far more sophisticated. It represents a foundational shift in how lenders, servicers, and investors manage document-heavy workflows. At its core, IDP addresses one of the mortgage industry’s biggest bottlenecks: the inefficiency of handling, classifying,

For decades, FICO has been the dominant force in credit scoring, central to the U.S. mortgage ecosystem since the introduction of its score in 1986. It has long drawn both scrutiny and reliance from the industry, regarded as a gatekeeper to credit access for millions of consumers. But a major structural shift is now underway: FICO has announced a direct licensing model that will bypass the traditional credit bureaus and instead work directly with credit reporting agencies (CR

Earlier this year, around the time tariffs were originally announced on "Liberation Day," bonds were defying logic and leaving even seasoned traders scratching their heads. Today, things make a little more sense, but only just. Yields have fallen, MBS price discovery is less of a problem, and a clearer trading range has developed, yet investors are still wrestling to interpret a Federal Reserve that seems both cautious and conflicted. At the heart of this story lies the term

The news out this week is that D.R. Horton is acquiring SK Builders . So yes, the nation’s largest builder is expanding its presence in the fast-growing South Carolina markets. Despite what President Trump has to say about builders stepping up their game, the question those of us in the biz are asking is, “Are homebuilders really stalling, or are high rates to blame?” For years people have pointed out inventory issues, but those seem to be behind us. In the first quarter of t

Vendor management is a cornerstone of risk management for mortgage lenders, ensuring operational stability and regulatory compliance in a...

“Breaking” mortgage litigation news I’m not a news reporter [1] (and these Musings are not legal advice), but here I am reporting on the...

In the first Voice of the Industry , David Spector, Chairman and CEO of Pennymac, discussed his path from early beginnings on Wall Street...

Yes, the Federal Open Market Committee cut its overnight fed funds rate last week, prompting banks to reduce their prime rates, and the...